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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+0.67vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.60+2.71vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.60+1.72vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.24-0.58vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.01-1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-1.03-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.42-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67University of Washington1.740.6%1st Place
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4.71University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.72Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.42Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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3.81Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 56.4% | 27.7% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lukas Koch | 5.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 19.2% |
| Spencer Shear | 5.4% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 19.6% |
| Carter Erickson | 12.7% | 20.9% | 20.9% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Nikoline Alden | 9.1% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 7.1% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 3.4% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 37.6% |
| Steven Dieleman | 8.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.