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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+0.69vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.42+2.42vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.60+1.73vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.01-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-1.03+0.38vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.24-2.59vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.60-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69University of Washington1.740.6%1st Place
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4.42University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.81Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
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3.41Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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4.57Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 56.7% | 26.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Steven Dieleman | 6.7% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 14.4% |
| Lukas Koch | 5.6% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 21.1% |
| Nikoline Alden | 9.0% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 21.3% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 19.4% | 37.7% |
| Carter Erickson | 12.6% | 20.8% | 22.5% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Spencer Shear | 6.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 21.7% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.