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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.69+6.53vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.43vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.44+5.93vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10+2.55vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.59+5.03vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.31vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.89vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85+1.58vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.30-1.71vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.59-3.07vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.98-5.43vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-5.47vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-3.42vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.26-0.76vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.13-3.11vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.02-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Florida State University1.698.0%1st Place
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6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.319.2%1st Place
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8.93George Washington University1.445.0%1st Place
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6.55Jacksonville University2.108.9%1st Place
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10.03Northeastern University1.593.7%1st Place
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6.39University of Pennsylvania2.169.8%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.675.8%1st Place
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7.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.5%1st Place
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10.58Eckerd College0.852.6%1st Place
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8.29Webb Institute1.306.4%1st Place
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7.93Old Dominion University1.596.8%1st Place
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6.57Fordham University1.9810.3%1st Place
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7.53Boston University1.398.1%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.2%1st Place
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14.24University of Michigan-0.261.1%1st Place
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12.89University of Wisconsin0.131.5%1st Place
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13.12SUNY Maritime College-0.021.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Foley | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Owen Bannasch | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 5.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Jack Hammett | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 17.8% | 39.2% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.