← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.17+1.50vs Predicted
-
2Middlebury College1.50+1.42vs Predicted
-
3McGill University1.39+0.62vs Predicted
-
4McGill University1.31-0.25vs Predicted
-
5Queen's University1.64-1.69vs Predicted
-
7Brandeis University-0.10-1.28vs Predicted
-
8Amherst College-0.14-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.5Tufts University2.170.3%1st Place
-
3.42Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
-
3.62McGill University1.390.1%1st Place
-
3.75McGill University1.310.1%1st Place
-
3.31Queen's University1.640.2%1st Place
-
5.72Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
-
5.68Amherst College-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Patterson | 34.4% | 23.7% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 15.4% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Wesley Yland | 13.1% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 11.8% | 3.8% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 14.0% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 20.0% | 13.1% | 4.9% |
| Arielle Morgan | 16.7% | 19.7% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Josh Basseches | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 28.2% | 41.1% |
| Joshua McAuliffe | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 26.0% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.