← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.53+0.80vs Predicted
-
2University of Victoria-0.60+2.68vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.01+0.79vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.24-0.59vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.60-1.28vs Predicted
-
7University of Victoria-0.42-2.62vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria-1.03-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.8University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
-
4.68University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
-
3.79Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
3.41Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
-
4.72Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
-
4.38University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
-
5.22University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 51.9% | 28.4% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Lukas Koch | 6.1% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 20.2% | 18.5% |
| Nikoline Alden | 10.1% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 7.1% |
| Carter Erickson | 14.5% | 19.7% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Spencer Shear | 5.1% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 20.7% |
| Steven Dieleman | 7.5% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 15.3% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 20.6% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.