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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.82vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.24+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-1.03+2.33vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.60+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.60-0.28vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.01-2.25vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.42-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
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3.35Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
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4.73Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.75Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 52.3% | 26.0% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Carter Erickson | 13.4% | 22.4% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 37.4% |
| Spencer Shear | 5.1% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 19.5% | 21.3% | 19.0% |
| Lukas Koch | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 20.4% |
| Nikoline Alden | 10.5% | 16.6% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 5.9% |
| Steven Dieleman | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.