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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.81vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.60+2.67vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.60+1.70vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.24-0.60vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.01-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.42-1.62vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-1.03-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
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4.67University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.7Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.4Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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3.79Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 51.7% | 27.0% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Lukas Koch | 6.0% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 18.3% |
| Spencer Shear | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 19.2% |
| Carter Erickson | 14.3% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Nikoline Alden | 10.2% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% |
| Steven Dieleman | 7.6% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 15.2% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.