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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.60+3.58vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53-0.22vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.60+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.42+0.51vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.01-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-1.03-0.65vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.24-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
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1.78University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
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4.69University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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3.79Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
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3.29Western Washington University0.240.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Shear | 6.1% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 17.8% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 53.2% | 26.4% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lukas Koch | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 20.7% | 18.9% |
| Steven Dieleman | 6.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 15.6% |
| Nikoline Alden | 9.6% | 16.2% | 21.7% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 7.2% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 3.2% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 37.2% |
| Carter Erickson | 15.4% | 21.0% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.