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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.49+6.67vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+6.78vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+2.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20+1.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.10vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.77+4.42vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.51+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.74+2.82vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60-1.82vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.69-0.28vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.89-2.05vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.52-1.29vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.80-3.83vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University0.55-0.17vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.69-9.09vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.64-2.56vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.39-9.92vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-0.32-2.07vs Predicted
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20Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.78Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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5.15Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.82University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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7.18Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.72Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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11.71Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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10.17McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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14.83Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.91Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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14.44Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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16.93University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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16.85Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Alex Moreno | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ben Brown | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Julien Brunet | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 9.9% |
| Franco Bilik | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 7.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 13.2% | 24.5% | 37.4% |
| David Tampellini | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 22.3% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.