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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+4.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+4.00vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+4.77vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.89+6.10vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+0.72vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69+0.96vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.74+3.70vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.21+0.98vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.52+2.25vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.77+0.42vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.69-0.20vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University0.55+3.03vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.39-5.17vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-6.60vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.80-5.74vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.51-9.54vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.64-3.65vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-0.32-2.09vs Predicted
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20Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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7.77Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.96Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.7University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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8.98Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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11.25Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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10.8Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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15.03Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.26McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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7.46Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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14.35Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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16.91University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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16.84Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 14.7% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| James Amaral | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ben Brown | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Brian Baker | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 21.5% | 10.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julien Brunet | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Alex Moreno | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 9.2% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 23.7% | 36.8% |
| David Tampellini | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 12.0% | 23.2% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.