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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.09+4.57vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+4.80vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.39+4.23vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20+0.17vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69+1.20vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.89+2.92vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.77+1.78vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21-1.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-5.22vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.74-1.37vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-0.43+4.28vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.51-6.56vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.80-4.44vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.64-1.70vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.69-6.35vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University0.55-3.35vs Predicted
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19Middlebury College1.52-7.59vs Predicted
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20University of Connecticut-0.32-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.17Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.92Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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7.38Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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8.66Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.63University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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17.28Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.56McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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14.3Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.65Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.65Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.41Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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16.59University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Northrup | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ed Lebens | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 20.8% | 47.4% |
| Alex Moreno | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julien Brunet | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 9.1% |
| Brian Baker | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 9.7% |
| Ben Brown | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 27.5% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.