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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+4.17vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+3.56vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+2.99vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.74+6.59vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+2.82vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39+2.01vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University0.55+7.62vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51-0.19vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.69-2.20vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.43+6.95vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.89-1.02vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.80-2.38vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-7.00vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.69-4.17vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-7.37vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.77-6.72vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.26-5.71vs Predicted
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19Fairfield University0.64-4.54vs Predicted
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20University of Connecticut-0.32-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.59University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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7.82Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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14.62Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.81Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.8Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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16.95Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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10.62McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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7.0Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.83Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.63Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.28University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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12.29Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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14.46Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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16.58University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte List | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 8.7% |
| Alex Moreno | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 21.3% | 44.0% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Julien Brunet | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Lillian Vincens | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 8.4% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 25.2% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.