← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College4.25+8.99vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston4.76+5.78vs Predicted
-
3Brown University4.28+6.99vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University5.19+2.04vs Predicted
-
5Yale University4.85+2.33vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+1.48vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University4.33+2.94vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University3.92+3.28vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy4.34+0.45vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont4.60-1.62vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-2.04vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University4.52-2.96vs Predicted
-
13Boston University2.00+5.08vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University3.47-0.67vs Predicted
-
15University of Miami3.99-3.85vs Predicted
-
16University of Washington2.87-0.45vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin4.10-6.41vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida3.74-5.60vs Predicted
-
19Stanford University3.64-6.40vs Predicted
-
20SUNY Maritime College4.15-9.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.99Washington College4.250.0%1st Place
-
7.78College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
-
9.99Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
-
6.04Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
-
7.33Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
-
7.48St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
-
9.94Tufts University4.330.0%1st Place
-
11.28Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
-
9.45U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
-
8.38University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
-
8.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
9.04Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
18.08Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
-
13.33Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
-
11.15University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
-
15.55University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
-
10.59University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
-
12.4University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
-
12.6Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
-
10.63SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Blouin | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Juan Maegli | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Robert Vann | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Clinton Hayes | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 12.9% | 60.4% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 23.3% | 17.9% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Britton Steele | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Peter Stemler | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.