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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.33vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+4.43vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.44+6.06vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+3.13vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.16+1.35vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.59+4.10vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.85+3.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+2.65vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.59-1.33vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.98-3.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.73vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.30-3.88vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.18vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.39-6.45vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.26-0.91vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.13-3.20vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.69-9.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.3110.8%1st Place
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6.43Jacksonville University2.1010.4%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University1.444.9%1st Place
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7.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.6%1st Place
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6.35University of Pennsylvania2.1611.2%1st Place
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10.1Northeastern University1.593.8%1st Place
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10.79Eckerd College0.852.9%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.0%1st Place
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7.67Old Dominion University1.597.3%1st Place
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6.74Fordham University1.989.2%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.675.5%1st Place
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8.12Webb Institute1.306.2%1st Place
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13.18SUNY Maritime College-0.021.5%1st Place
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7.55Boston University1.396.3%1st Place
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14.09University of Michigan-0.261.2%1st Place
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12.8University of Wisconsin0.131.3%1st Place
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7.73Florida State University1.696.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 22.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Hammett | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 39.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 18.1% |
| Peter Foley | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.