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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.17+1.51vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.64+1.20vs Predicted
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3McGill University1.31+0.77vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.39-0.37vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.50-1.49vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.10-1.30vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.14-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Tufts University2.170.3%1st Place
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3.2Queen's University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.77McGill University1.310.1%1st Place
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3.63McGill University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.51Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.7Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.68Amherst College-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Patterson | 34.0% | 24.3% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Arielle Morgan | 18.2% | 20.9% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 12.1% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 4.8% |
| Wesley Yland | 15.4% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 11.7% | 3.8% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 14.1% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Josh Basseches | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 27.9% | 40.8% |
| Joshua McAuliffe | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 26.8% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.