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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.20+7.62vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+6.59vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+4.51vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.80+6.19vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+2.28vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.52+5.13vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.70-0.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.89+1.96vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-3.75vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.77+0.20vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.20-6.00vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.73-1.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-8.40vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.69-4.32vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.74-5.73vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.64-2.77vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.32-1.28vs Predicted
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19Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.91vs Predicted
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20Wesleyan University0.55-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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8.59Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.51Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.19McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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7.28Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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11.13Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.66Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.96Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Rhode Island3.090.2%1st Place
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10.2University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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5.0Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.79Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.68Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.27University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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14.23Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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16.72University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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17.09Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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14.24Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julien Brunet | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Quinn Andersen | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ed Lebens | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 15.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| August Sturm | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| James Amaral | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Lillian Vincens | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 8.6% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 25.0% | 36.9% |
| David Tampellini | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 23.0% | 42.3% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.