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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.89+8.85vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.60+5.12vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+4.50vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.20+4.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+0.86vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21+2.50vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20-1.95vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.69+2.79vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-3.73vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.77+0.19vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.70-5.39vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.80-2.50vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.73-3.80vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.52-3.68vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.74-5.76vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.64-2.75vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.32-1.29vs Predicted
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19Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.88vs Predicted
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20Wesleyan University0.55-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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7.12Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.5Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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8.5Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.05Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.79Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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6.61Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.5McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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10.2Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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11.32Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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10.24University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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14.25Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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16.71University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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17.12Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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14.32Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Lebens | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| August Sturm | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Quinn Andersen | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Brunet | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ben Brown | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| James Amaral | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Lillian Vincens | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 8.5% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 25.0% | 36.7% |
| David Tampellini | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 22.8% | 42.4% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.