← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.91vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.68+3.87vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.38+3.86vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.76+1.56vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.18-0.51vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.32+0.91vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.99+4.42vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.60-1.76vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.50-2.72vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.22+0.60vs Predicted
-
11McGill University1.10+0.07vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.39-1.60vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.34-6.29vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire1.24-4.26vs Predicted
-
16Sacred Heart University-1.60+1.12vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University-0.40-1.92vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College0.24-4.53vs Predicted
-
19Wesleyan University-2.12-1.08vs Predicted
-
20University of Connecticut-1.14-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
-
5.87Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
-
6.86Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.56University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
-
4.49Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
6.91Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
-
11.42University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
-
6.24Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.28Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
-
10.6Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
-
11.07McGill University1.100.0%1st Place
-
10.4Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
6.71Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
-
10.74University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
17.12Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
-
15.08Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
13.47Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
-
17.92Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
-
16.34University of Connecticut-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Milot | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Collin Alexander | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bayard Lalor | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 17.6% | 30.0% | 30.2% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 24.2% | 20.0% | 13.5% | 4.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 24.7% | 51.4% |
| Daniel Ghajar | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 25.3% | 25.6% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.