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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+6.00vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.38+4.80vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.34+3.97vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.10+7.12vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.99+5.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-2.63vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-2.17vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.87vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.24+0.38vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.60-5.04vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.76-6.49vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.22-2.01vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.50-7.85vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-4.80vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University-1.60+1.12vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.40-1.98vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.24-4.52vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-1.14-2.39vs Predicted
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20Wesleyan University-2.12-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.8Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.97Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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11.12McGill University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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4.37Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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5.83Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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10.38University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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5.96Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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10.99Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.15Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.2Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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17.12Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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15.02Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.48Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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16.61University of Connecticut-1.140.0%1st Place
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17.79Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Shea | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Milot | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 18.3% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Collin Alexander | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 9.4% | 18.2% | 30.1% | 29.4% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 13.5% | 24.1% | 20.8% | 11.6% | 3.8% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Ghajar | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 13.5% | 25.3% | 26.5% | 15.8% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 12.1% | 24.8% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.