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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.50+5.44vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.38+4.82vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+2.86vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.60+2.03vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.99+6.62vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18-1.62vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.24+3.65vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34-1.87vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.32-3.17vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.10-0.01vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.76-6.46vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-2.57vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.22-3.47vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University-1.60+2.24vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-2.57vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.40-2.00vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-1.14-1.53vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-12.16vs Predicted
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20Wesleyan University-2.12-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.86Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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4.38Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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10.65University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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7.13Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.99McGill University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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10.43Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.53Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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17.24Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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13.43Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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15.0Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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16.47University of Connecticut-1.140.0%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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17.76Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Maurillo | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Alexander | 7.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Milot | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 19.9% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bayard Lalor | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 17.0% | 32.4% | 30.8% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 13.9% | 22.5% | 22.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% |
| Daniel Ghajar | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 25.1% | 26.0% | 15.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 22.3% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.