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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.56+5.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.38+4.78vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.60+3.10vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.34+2.81vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.50+1.50vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.32+0.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.16vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.18-4.55vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39-0.12vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.24-0.50vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.68-6.18vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.99-1.29vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.10-3.11vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.22-4.21vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.40-1.08vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.14-0.53vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.24-4.51vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-2.12-1.06vs Predicted
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20Sacred Heart University-1.60-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.81Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.5Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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4.45Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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9.88Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.5University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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11.71University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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10.89McGill University1.100.0%1st Place
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10.79Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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14.92Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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16.47University of Connecticut-1.140.0%1st Place
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13.49Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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17.94Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
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17.09Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gibbs | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Alexander | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.8% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.3% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Milot | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bayard Lalor | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 3.6% |
| Daniel Ghajar | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 27.3% | 25.7% | 14.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 0.6% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 12.3% | 22.3% | 53.4% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 20.8% | 28.7% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.