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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+3.74vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+4.01vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+2.80vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.56+2.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.99vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38+0.60vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+3.02vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.14-3.41vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.76-1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.99+0.15vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-5.18vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.22-2.19vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.10-3.29vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-1.14+1.30vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-1.36+0.50vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.24-6.62vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.24-4.74vs Predicted
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19Sacred Heart University-1.60-1.93vs Predicted
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20Wesleyan University-2.12-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.8Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.02Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.59Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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8.59Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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6.82Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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10.81Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.71McGill University1.100.0%1st Place
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16.3University of Connecticut-1.140.0%1st Place
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16.5Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.38University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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13.26Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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17.07Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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17.6Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 14.7% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Alexander | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 16.0% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Milot | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Ghajar | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 18.8% | 25.3% | 22.7% | 12.8% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 16.3% | 23.3% | 22.3% | 19.1% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 14.3% | 21.8% | 27.7% | 23.4% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 23.9% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.