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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+3.43vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.76+6.77vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.38+3.74vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.60+1.98vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+5.21vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.99+5.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68-1.25vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.02-3.09vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34-2.33vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.56-4.02vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.20vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.22-2.19vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-1.14+2.05vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.10-4.02vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.24-5.69vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.24-3.71vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-1.60-0.99vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-2.12-1.23vs Predicted
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20Fairfield University-1.36-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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8.77Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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5.75Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.91Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.67Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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10.81Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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16.05University of Connecticut-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.98McGill University1.100.0%1st Place
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10.31University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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13.29Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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17.01Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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17.77Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
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16.49Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Alexander | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Milot | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Ghajar | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 19.2% | 24.7% | 21.8% | 10.0% |
| Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 26.5% | 26.4% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 23.1% | 46.4% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 7.4% | 18.1% | 21.8% | 24.2% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.