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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University1.39+2.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.17+0.49vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.64+0.26vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.31-0.21vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-0.14-0.19vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.10-1.26vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.50-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55McGill University1.390.2%1st Place
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2.49Tufts University2.170.3%1st Place
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3.26Queen's University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.79McGill University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.81Amherst College-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.74Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.36Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Yland | 15.4% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.8% |
| Colin Patterson | 30.0% | 28.1% | 19.2% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Arielle Morgan | 18.2% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 21.3% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 13.4% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 21.5% | 14.2% | 3.9% |
| Joshua McAuliffe | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 26.1% | 45.9% |
| Josh Basseches | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 26.9% | 42.0% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 17.7% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.