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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+5.64vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+8.56vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+5.25vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.63vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.16+1.61vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.44+3.35vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.48vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98-0.87vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.50+3.56vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.30-1.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+0.11vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.89-1.69vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-3.67vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College0.85-2.77vs Predicted
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15Florida State University1.69-7.01vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.26-1.00vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-8.04vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.13-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Jacksonville University2.1010.1%1st Place
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10.56Northeastern University1.594.0%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University1.595.9%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.319.8%1st Place
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6.61University of Pennsylvania2.1610.1%1st Place
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9.35George Washington University1.444.9%1st Place
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7.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.3%1st Place
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7.13Fordham University1.989.0%1st Place
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12.56SUNY Maritime College0.502.0%1st Place
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8.4Webb Institute1.306.0%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.5%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College0.893.8%1st Place
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9.33Boston University1.145.8%1st Place
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11.23Eckerd College0.853.2%1st Place
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7.99Florida State University1.696.8%1st Place
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15.0University of Michigan-0.261.2%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Santa Barbara1.674.9%1st Place
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13.45University of Wisconsin0.131.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 12.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Peter Foley | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jack Hammett | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 42.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.