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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+7.53vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+7.46vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+7.35vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59+4.05vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+3.53vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.01vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.86vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+1.75vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.09-2.80vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.60-1.83vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.29-1.20vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.42vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.49-4.85vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-4.32vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.61-6.92vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-2.89vs Predicted
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18Hampton University3.02-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.46Bowdoin College3.560.0%1st Place
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10.35Boston College3.350.0%1st Place
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6.35Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.05University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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7.2College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.8Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.15George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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9.08Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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14.11Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.36Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| John Rolander | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Mack Fox | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| AJ Reiter | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 34.9% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.