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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+5.64vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.59+7.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+7.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.23vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.29+5.28vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61+2.99vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49+2.51vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.06vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.56+0.21vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49-0.23vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston4.09-3.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.87vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.38+0.77vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.60-5.28vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.28vs Predicted
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16Hampton University3.02-4.44vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-6.12vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.35-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.35University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.28Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College3.560.0%1st Place
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9.77George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.12College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.77Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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11.56Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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10.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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9.93Boston College3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| John Rolander | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 31.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Mack Fox | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.