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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+8.57vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+7.40vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+3.49vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09+2.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.84vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.29+3.27vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.15vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.85+3.11vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.38+4.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.23vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.56-2.53vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-6.20vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.49-4.95vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-4.48vs Predicted
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16Hampton University3.02-4.54vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.60-7.98vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.59-9.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.57Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College3.530.0%1st Place
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6.49Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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6.84College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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10.27Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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12.11Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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14.02Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.05George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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11.46Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.02Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.68University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Henry Dumke | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 32.7% |
| Mack Fox | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.