← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+7.42vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University3.02+9.65vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.53+6.47vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.48vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.29+5.14vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.80vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.12vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston4.09-1.25vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+1.58vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.60-0.84vs Predicted
-
11Yale University4.24-4.56vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida3.59-2.65vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College3.56-4.06vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.73vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.49-5.65vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University2.38-2.04vs Predicted
-
17Boston College2.85-4.82vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University3.49-8.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
11.65Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
-
9.47Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.14Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
-
9.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
6.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.75College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
10.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
-
9.16Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
6.44Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
9.35University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
-
8.94Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
-
9.35Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
-
13.96Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
-
12.18Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
-
9.18George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Mack Fox | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| John Rolander | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 32.4% |
| Henry Dumke | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.