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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+8.62vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+5.09vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.41vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+5.11vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09+1.92vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+2.91vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.59+1.92vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49+1.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.79vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.56-0.60vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-0.27vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.38+2.08vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.52vs Predicted
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14Hampton University3.02-2.98vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.24-8.82vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.29-5.67vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.85-4.80vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.62George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.11Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.92College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.91Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.92University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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14.08Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.02Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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6.18Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.33Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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12.2Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| John Rolander | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 34.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 10.4% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| AJ Reiter | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Henry Dumke | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 12.9% |
| Mack Fox | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.