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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+7.39vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+5.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+7.09vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+6.80vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+3.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+3.36vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49+2.33vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.59+0.83vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+1.61vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.60-0.87vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston4.09-4.07vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.56-2.63vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.59vs Predicted
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14Hampton University3.02-3.02vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.61-6.23vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.29-5.68vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-6.26vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.38-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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10.8Yale University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.24Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.33George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.83University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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9.13Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.93College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.98Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.32Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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13.71Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| John Rolander | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Mack Fox | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| AJ Reiter | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 14.0% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.