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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+9.01vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+6.46vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+6.29vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.02vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.61+3.75vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+2.87vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.13+3.92vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.22vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49+0.34vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.29+0.55vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.49-1.50vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-1.08vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.09-6.29vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.59-5.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.45vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.37vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-3.04vs Predicted
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18Hampton University3.02-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.46Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.29Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.92Yale University3.130.0%1st Place
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6.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.34George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.55Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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6.71College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.62University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.96Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.13Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| AJ Reiter | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% |
| John Rolander | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Mack Fox | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 33.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.