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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+8.56vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.29+8.50vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+6.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.73vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.86vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.59+1.89vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56+0.91vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+1.56vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.49-0.33vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston4.09-4.06vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.13-0.69vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-2.57vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.61-5.47vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.51vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.73-7.65vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-3.03vs Predicted
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18Hampton University3.02-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.5Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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9.16Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.89University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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8.91Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.94College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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11.31Yale University3.130.0%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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13.97Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.15Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| AJ Reiter | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| John Rolander | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% |
| Mack Fox | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 33.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.