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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+9.73vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+7.56vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.59+6.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.72vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+3.35vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.60+1.87vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-1.24vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.92vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.61-0.85vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.29-0.63vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.08vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.38+0.63vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.56-5.27vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.13-4.14vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.73-7.65vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.21vs Predicted
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18Hampton University3.02-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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9.56George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.76College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.37Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.63Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.73Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.86Yale University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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11.15Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Tara | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| John Rolander | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 31.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| Mack Fox | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.