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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+9.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.74vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+6.21vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.49+5.27vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+5.45vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.49+3.35vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73+1.25vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-1.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.77vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.59-0.80vs Predicted
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11Hampton University3.02+0.48vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.56-2.57vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.13-2.25vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-6.17vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.61-6.23vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-9.13vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-3.00vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.42Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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9.35George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.75College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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11.48Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.75Yale University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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14.0Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| John Rolander | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 33.0% |
| Mack Fox | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.