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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+7.75vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+9.58vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+4.03vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+4.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.72vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+2.31vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.14vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60+0.84vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.61-0.20vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.29+0.51vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.38+2.88vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.50vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.59-4.21vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-4.98vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-4.46vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.49-6.56vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.26vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.13-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.58Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.03College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.84Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.51Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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13.88Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.79University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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9.44George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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10.73Yale University3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 33.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| John Rolander | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Mack Fox | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.