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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.92+9.64vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.11+7.97vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+5.75vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.31vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20+4.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+4.98vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.72+0.01vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+0.45vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.84-2.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.47-2.74vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.39vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.92-2.65vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.72-2.96vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47-2.65vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.19-6.52vs Predicted
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17Hampton University2.26-3.69vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University3.43-9.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.64University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.97Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University3.200.0%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.35Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.04George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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12.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
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9.48Boston College3.190.0%1st Place
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13.31Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.11Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Baird | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Trevor Long | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Jack Cusick | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% |
| William Hawk | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Paul Didham | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 15.7% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 24.8% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.