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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+5.82vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.72vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.92+7.79vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.11+5.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.41vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.25vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.92+3.47vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26+5.05vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.72+2.39vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.72-2.65vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.19-1.60vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-3.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47-0.80vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.47-6.17vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.38-6.58vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University3.43-7.67vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.94vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.20-8.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.79University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.59Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.47Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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13.05Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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11.39George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.35Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.4Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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12.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.33Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.09Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Long | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
| William Hawk | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 25.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% |
| Paul Didham | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.