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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.17+1.57vs Predicted
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2McGill University1.39+1.71vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.64+0.40vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.50-0.42vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.14+0.97vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.31-3.09vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.59-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Tufts University2.170.3%1st Place
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3.71McGill University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.4Queen's University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.58Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
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5.97Amherst College-0.140.0%1st Place
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3.91McGill University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.86Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Patterson | 33.1% | 23.0% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Wesley Yland | 12.4% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 5.4% |
| Arielle Morgan | 15.9% | 18.8% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 3.7% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 16.1% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 3.8% |
| Joshua McAuliffe | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 57.3% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 8.7% |
| Jacob Hardy | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 29.4% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.