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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.16+5.39vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+7.95vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+3.38vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.30+3.99vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.44vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.50+5.83vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.69+0.58vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98-1.41vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-2.06vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.59-2.21vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-1.84vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.85-1.35vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-4.69vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-3.45vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.26-0.67vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.44-6.77vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.13-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39University of Pennsylvania2.1610.2%1st Place
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9.95Northeastern University1.593.6%1st Place
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6.38Jacksonville University2.1011.1%1st Place
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7.99Webb Institute1.306.8%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.319.4%1st Place
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11.83SUNY Maritime College0.502.5%1st Place
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7.58Florida State University1.697.5%1st Place
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6.59Fordham University1.988.6%1st Place
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6.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.5%1st Place
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7.79Old Dominion University1.598.0%1st Place
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9.16Boston University1.145.2%1st Place
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10.65Eckerd College0.853.5%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.676.2%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.9%1st Place
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14.33University of Michigan-0.260.9%1st Place
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9.23George Washington University1.444.7%1st Place
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12.9University of Wisconsin0.131.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jackson McAliley | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Adrian Winkelman | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
Owen Bannasch | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Everett Botwinick | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
Sam Bruce | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 12.4% |
Peter Foley | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
Jacob Zils | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Diogo Silva | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Tiare Sierra | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
Pj Rodrigues | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
Henry Boeger | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
Reed McAllister | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
Jack Hammett | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 15.9% | 43.8% |
Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
Nigel Yu | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.