← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.72+10.49vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.63vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.38+5.79vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.41vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.92+5.33vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.47+2.12vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida2.92+3.51vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.38vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.19+0.30vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.72-2.68vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.84-4.25vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University3.43-3.32vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.21vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University3.11-4.61vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47-2.68vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.20-6.61vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University2.26-3.68vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.49George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
-
7.63U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.79Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
-
8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.33Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
8.12Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
10.51University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
-
8.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
9.3Boston College3.190.0%1st Place
-
7.32Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
6.75College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.68Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
-
10.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.39Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
-
12.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
-
9.39Harvard University3.200.0%1st Place
-
13.32Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
-
10.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.0% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Trevor Long | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| William Hawk | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Cusick | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% |
| Jack Gerli | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Paul Didham | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 15.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 25.4% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.