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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+7.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+5.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+5.33vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.92+6.40vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+3.45vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20+3.36vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.19+2.31vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.84-1.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.94vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.29vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University3.43-2.56vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.44vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.92-2.68vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.11-4.66vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-6.64vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.72-4.57vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47-4.50vs Predicted
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18Hampton University2.26-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.21Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.4University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.36Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.56College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.44Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.34Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.43George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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12.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
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12.98Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Jack Cusick | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| William Hawk | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Jack Gerli | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% |
| Paul Didham | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 17.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.