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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+7.37vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.77vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+4.27vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.34vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.92+5.41vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+2.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.41vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.11+1.64vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.18vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.92+0.74vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.20-1.55vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.19-2.28vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.84-6.50vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.72-2.97vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University3.43-6.81vs Predicted
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16Hampton University2.26-2.76vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47-4.49vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.27Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.64Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.74University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.45Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.5College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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11.03George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.19Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.24Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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12.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Trevor Long | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
| William Hawk | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Jack Gerli | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Jack Cusick | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 25.2% |
| Paul Didham | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 17.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.