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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.92+9.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+6.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+4.06vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.12vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.84+1.43vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.42+6.34vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.26+5.94vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38+0.23vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.06+0.69vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University3.43-1.61vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-2.51vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.32vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.92-2.88vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.72-3.14vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.19-5.88vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.19vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47-4.71vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.48Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.06Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.43College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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12.34Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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12.94Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.69Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.39Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.12University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.12Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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12.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
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9.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hawk | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Jack Cusick | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 16.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 20.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Trevor Long | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% |
| Paul Didham | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 15.6% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.