← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.06+8.88vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+6.39vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.52vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.92+6.13vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.38+3.22vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.84+0.41vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida2.92+3.22vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.19+0.99vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.63vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.72-2.92vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+0.10vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.47-3.72vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University3.43-5.08vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.05vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University2.26-2.14vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.42-3.64vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University2.72-5.83vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.88Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
-
8.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.13Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
8.22Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
-
6.41College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
-
10.22University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
-
8.99Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
-
10.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.08Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
11.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
-
8.28Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
7.92Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
-
6.95U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
12.86Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
-
12.36Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
-
11.17George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
-
11.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Dorr | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Long | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| William Hawk | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Jack Cusick | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 20.8% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 16.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Paul Didham | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.