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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.06+8.87vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+6.42vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.19+6.28vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.84+2.32vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+3.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+1.88vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.92+3.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.83vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92+0.56vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.72+0.28vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.72-4.83vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University3.43-5.12vs Predicted
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14Hampton University2.26-1.43vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-6.77vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-5.01vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47-4.68vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.42-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.28Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.32College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.21University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.56Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.28George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.17Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.88Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.57Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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12.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
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12.08Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Dorr | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Jack Cusick | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| William Hawk | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 18.7% |
| Trevor Long | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Burgess | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% |
| Paul Didham | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 15.2% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.