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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+7.40vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.92+8.65vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+5.64vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+3.87vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.84+1.51vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+2.03vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20+2.16vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.24vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.10vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.06+0.11vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.25-1.91vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.17vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.92-2.78vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.88vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.57-3.18vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47-3.66vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-6.05vs Predicted
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18Hampton University2.26-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.65Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.51College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.16Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.11Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.09Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.22University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.82George Washington University2.570.0%1st Place
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12.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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12.92Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| William Hawk | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Jack Cusick | 11.1% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| Trevor Long | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Baird | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Rhodes Garner | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.2% |
| Paul Didham | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 17.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.