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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.37vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+5.10vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+7.05vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.30+4.08vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.10+1.64vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.98+0.68vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.69+0.66vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+2.49vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.16-2.73vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.50+1.91vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.59-3.18vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-3.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-4.75vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.44-5.06vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College0.85-4.22vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.26-1.68vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.13-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.3110.0%1st Place
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7.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.8%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University1.593.8%1st Place
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8.08Webb Institute1.306.0%1st Place
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6.64Jacksonville University2.1010.1%1st Place
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6.68Fordham University1.989.9%1st Place
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7.66Florida State University1.697.2%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.5%1st Place
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6.27University of Pennsylvania2.169.9%1st Place
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11.91SUNY Maritime College0.502.4%1st Place
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7.82Old Dominion University1.596.4%1st Place
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9.0Boston University1.145.0%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.676.3%1st Place
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8.94George Washington University1.444.8%1st Place
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10.78Eckerd College0.853.2%1st Place
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14.32University of Michigan-0.260.9%1st Place
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12.65University of Wisconsin0.131.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Peter Foley | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 12.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 5.8% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 44.4% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 18.7% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.