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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University1.39+2.70vs Predicted
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2McGill University1.31+1.87vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.50+0.58vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.17-1.38vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.64-1.61vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.14-1.05vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.59-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7McGill University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.87McGill University1.310.1%1st Place
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3.58Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
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2.62Tufts University2.170.3%1st Place
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3.39Queen's University1.640.2%1st Place
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5.95Amherst College-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.89Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Yland | 15.4% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 6.5% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 11.5% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 6.9% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 15.3% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 4.6% |
| Colin Patterson | 31.4% | 22.1% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Arielle Morgan | 16.3% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 3.8% |
| Joshua McAuliffe | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 56.9% |
| Jacob Hardy | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 29.7% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.