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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+7.37vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+5.88vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+5.31vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20+4.72vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.92+4.89vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+2.62vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-0.34vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.84-2.87vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.57+1.73vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.77vs Predicted
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12Hampton University2.26+0.94vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.40vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.40-2.21vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-0.11vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47-4.04vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University3.43-8.96vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.06-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.88Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.31Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.89Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.62Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.66Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.13College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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11.73George Washington University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.94Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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11.79University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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14.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
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8.04Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.24Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| William Hawk | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Rhodes Garner | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 17.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% |
| Cooper Siepert | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 39.9% |
| Paul Didham | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.