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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+7.98vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.18vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.84+3.41vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+3.64vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.96vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.26+6.63vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.07vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+1.91vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47+2.84vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-2.11vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University3.43-3.03vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.25-2.97vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.72-2.34vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.38-6.17vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.40-2.92vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-5.25vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.11-7.66vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.41College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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12.63Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.91Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
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7.89Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.97Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.03Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.66George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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12.08University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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10.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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9.34Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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14.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Cusick | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 15.2% |
| Trevor Long | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| William Hawk | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Paul Didham | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% |
| Jack Gerli | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Cooper Siepert | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.