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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+5.47vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+6.07vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+5.28vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+3.93vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.61vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.92+3.97vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.12vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.03vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47-1.39vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+5.06vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.25-2.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47+0.18vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.11-3.88vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.72-3.50vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-4.34vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.20-7.08vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.40-4.75vs Predicted
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18Hampton University2.26-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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8.07Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.97Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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15.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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8.81Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
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9.12Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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10.5George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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10.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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8.92Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.25University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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12.46Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| William Hawk | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Trevor Long | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Cooper Siepert | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 42.9% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Paul Didham | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 10.7% |
| Jack Gerli | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 9.9% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.