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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+7.24vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.92+8.67vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+5.20vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.11+5.51vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+3.33vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.26+7.09vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38+1.37vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.75vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.20+0.12vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.72+1.49vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47+1.38vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.25-2.68vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University3.43-4.92vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.93vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-6.60vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.84-9.40vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-5.82vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.92-7.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.67University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.51Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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13.09Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.49George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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12.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
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9.32Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.08Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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11.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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10.2Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 23.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% |
| Paul Didham | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.9% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Long | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% |
| William Hawk | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.