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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+7.24vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+4.68vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.72+8.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.66vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26+7.87vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+2.97vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+4.08vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-0.06vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.67vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-1.28vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University3.43-2.61vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47+0.60vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.92-2.75vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.38-5.85vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.20-5.80vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.63-8.61vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.92-6.40vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.11-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.68College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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11.54George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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12.87Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.97Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.39Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.0%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.2Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.6University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.41Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Jack Cusick | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 22.9% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Long | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Paul Didham | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 18.2% |
| William Hawk | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% |
| Jack Gerli | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.