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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+5.38vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.90+6.76vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+4.77vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.82+5.11vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.87+4.16vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21+5.74vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.34+4.32vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.21-0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-1.28vs Predicted
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10University of Florida2.20+1.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.17-3.44vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.71-2.05vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.09vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia1.63+0.32vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.18-7.50vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina1.86-2.79vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.69-7.33vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University2.21-6.33vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.10-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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7.77Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.11Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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11.74Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.32Eckerd College2.340.0%1st Place
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7.67Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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9.95Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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14.32University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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13.21University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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9.67SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.67Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.81Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
| Samuel Normington | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Michael Madigan | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.3% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 24.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| John Fewell | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 15.6% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Austin Powers | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.